Trump won voters who skipped 2020 and 2022 by 14 points, suggesting voter turnout could matter far more than party persuasion in the 2026 midterms.
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/lee-carter-2026-election-come-down-one-type-voter
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/lee-carter-2026-election-come-down-one-type-voter